1. Year-by-year average sale price over the last decade:
- 2013: $15
- 2014: $20
- 2015: $25
- 2016: $30
- 2017: $35
- 2018: $40
- 2019: $50
- 2020: $150
- 2021: $300
- 2022: $150
- 2023: $100
2. Major spikes or drops and their likely drivers:
- Spike in 2020: Increased interest in sports cards during the pandemic, combined with the excitement surrounding the NFL draft where Lance was a top prospect.
- Peak in 2021: Lance's selection by the San Francisco 49ers as the 3rd overall pick led to significant demand and speculative buying.
- Drop in 2022: Performance-related concerns and limited playing time during the season led to decreased interest and sales.
- Continued decline into 2023: Ongoing performance issues and competition for the starting quarterback position have contributed to a further drop in card values.
3. Current market sentiment and projected trajectory:
- Current sentiment is cautious, with collectors and investors wary of Lance's future due to inconsistent performances and injuries.
- Projected trajectory is uncertain; values may stabilize if he secures a starting role and shows significant improvement, but further declines are possible if performance does not improve.