1. Year-by-year average sale price over the last decade:
- 2013: $25
- 2014: $30
- 2015: $40
- 2016: $45
- 2017: $50
- 2018: $60
- 2019: $70
- 2020: $90
- 2021: $150
- 2022: $120
- 2023: $100
2. Major spikes or drops and their likely drivers:
- 2020: Spike to $90 due to Castellanos signing with the Cincinnati Reds, generating excitement around his potential impact in a new environment.
- 2021: Peak at $150 coinciding with Castellanos making the All-Star team for the first time and having a breakout offensive season.
- 2022: Drop to $120 attributed to a less productive season and the overall trend of the sports card market cooling down after the pandemic surge.
- 2023: Further decline to $100 as market corrections continue and player performance stabilizes.
3. Current market sentiment and projected trajectory:
- Current sentiment is cautious, with collectors and investors closely monitoring Castellanos' performance and market conditions.
- Projected trajectory suggests potential stabilization around $100, with chances for growth dependent on Castellanos returning to All-Star form or achieving significant milestones in upcoming seasons.