1. Year-by-year average sale price over the last decade:
- 2014: $10
- 2015: $20
- 2016: $30
- 2017: $50
- 2018: $100
- 2019: $150
- 2020: $300
- 2021: $500
- 2022: $350
- 2023: $400
2. Major spikes or drops and their likely drivers:
- 2018: Spike due to Ohtani winning the American League Rookie of the Year.
- 2020: Significant increase as he returned from Tommy John surgery and showed strong performance, including being a two-way player.
- 2021: Major spike with Ohtani winning the AL MVP, leading to a surge in collector interest.
- 2022: Drop attributed to injury concerns and less impactful performance compared to 2021.
- 2023: Slight rebound as he continued to perform well and garnered attention as a potential free agent.
3. Current market sentiment and projected trajectory:
- Current market sentiment is positive, fueled by Ohtani's unique skill set and potential historic free agency.
- Projected trajectory is upward, with expectations for increased demand if he continues to perform at a high level and remains healthy.