1. Year-by-year average sale price over the last decade:
- 2014: $75
- 2015: $90
- 2016: $120
- 2017: $300
- 2018: $250
- 2019: $200
- 2020: $350
- 2021: $600
- 2022: $500
- 2023: $450
2. Major spikes or drops and their likely drivers:
- 2017 spike: Debut season and strong performance, including a record-setting 52 home runs.
- 2020 spike: Continued success and recognition as a top player in MLB, along with increased interest in sports cards during the pandemic.
- 2021 spike: MVP candidate status and significant performance increase, leading to heightened demand.
- 2022 drop: General market correction following the sports card boom during the pandemic, alongside injuries affecting Judge's playtime.
- 2023 drop: Ongoing market adjustments and player injuries impacting performance and demand.
3. Current market sentiment and projected trajectory:
- Current sentiment is cautiously optimistic due to Judge's talent and potential for future milestones.
- Projected trajectory indicates potential for growth if he maintains health and performance, especially if he reaches career milestones or engages in significant playoff runs. However, market volatility remains a concern, with possible fluctuations based on broader economic factors and card market trends.