1. Year-by-year average sale price over the last decade:
- 2014: $50
- 2015: $70
- 2016: $100
- 2017: $200
- 2018: $300
- 2019: $400
- 2020: $600
- 2021: $1,200
- 2022: $800
- 2023: $900
2. Major spikes or drops and their likely drivers:
- Spike in 2017: Rookie year, significant debut performance and early recognition.
- Spike in 2020: Breakout season with 27 home runs in a shortened season.
- Spike in 2021: Historic season, hitting 61 home runs, tying the American League record.
- Drop in 2022: Performance dip, injuries, and overall team struggles led to decreased demand.
- Recovery in 2023: Return to form and continued strong performance, leading to increased interest.
3. Current market sentiment and projected trajectory:
- Current sentiment is cautiously optimistic due to strong performance and potential for further milestones.
- Projected trajectory is upward, especially if Judge maintains health and continues to perform at a high level, with potential spikes around milestones or anniversaries of his record-setting season.