1. Year-by-year average sale price over the last decade:
- 2013: $1,200
- 2014: $1,500
- 2015: $1,800
- 2016: $2,000
- 2017: $2,500
- 2018: $3,000
- 2019: $3,500
- 2020: $4,200
- 2021: $5,000
- 2022: $4,800
- 2023: $5,200
2. Major spikes or drops and their likely drivers:
- 2017 spike: Driven by the 70th anniversary of Robinson breaking the color barrier in MLB.
- 2020 spike: Increased interest in sports cards overall during the COVID-19 pandemic and social justice movements highlighting Robinson's legacy.
- 2022 drop: General market correction following the peak in 2021, as collectors adjusted to inflated prices.
- 2023 recovery: Renewed interest in vintage cards and ongoing appreciation of Robinson's historical significance.
3. Current market sentiment and projected trajectory:
- Current market sentiment is positive, with strong interest from collectors and investors. The card is seen as a long-term hold due to Robinson's cultural impact and historical importance. Projected trajectory indicates a gradual increase in value, particularly as new collectors enter the market and anniversaries related to Robinson occur in the coming years.